Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Primera División brings Sport Huancayo against Comerciantes Unidos at Estadio Huancayo. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Sport Huancayo are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sport Huancayo, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sport Boys, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over FC Cajamarca, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Comerciantes Unidos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Sport Huancayo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Huancayo 1.9 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Huancayo 62%, draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Huancayo or draw (84%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Huancayo 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Huancayo62%fair 1.60 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.90
Comerciantes Unidos16%fair 6.23 · @5.80
2.82Expected goals
1.92Sport Huancayo xG
0.89Comerciantes Unidos xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sport Huancayo 1.9 – 0.9 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Attack vs Primera División average
+13%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+2%
Our expected goals here
2.01
0.99
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Huancayo to win✗
62%
1.60
1.56
Double chance
Sport Huancayo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Sport Huancayo (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sport Huancayo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Sport Huancayo to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Sport Huancayo ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Huancayo / FT Sport Huancayo✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Sport Huancayo – last 3
LLW
23 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs FC Cajamarca
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 4
WWLD
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Huancayo and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Sport Huancayo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Comerciantes Unidos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Sport Huancayo 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Sport Huancayo vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Huancayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
