ADT vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Grau travel to face ADT on Saturday 2 May in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
ADT, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atletico Grau, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sporting Cristal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.4 xG, Atletico Grau 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 53%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 21%.
Lower-risk option: ADT or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT53%fair 1.89 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.50
Atletico Grau21%fair 4.81 · @4.70
2.33Expected goals
1.42ADT xG
0.90Atletico Grau xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: ADT 1.4 – 0.9 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADT
Atletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average
-23%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.01
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win
53%
1.89
1.75
Double chance
ADT or draw
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.93
Draw no bet
ADT (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Grau +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
ADT to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADT / FT ADT
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
WLLDLD
27 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4–0
W
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WLDWLL
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Atletico Grau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ADT vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers ADT have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Grau 21%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Atletico Grau?
ADT vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
