FC Cajamarca 37%Draw 26%Sport Boys 36%Expected goals 1.24 – 1.31
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Cajamarca to win37% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.72
FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the Primera División brings FC Cajamarca against Sport Boys at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cusco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sport Boys, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juan Pablo II College, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sport Boys, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.2 xG, Sport Boys 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 37%, draw 26%, Sport Boys 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Sport Boys to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Sport Boys36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.54Expected goals
1.24FC Cajamarca xG
1.31Sport Boys xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.2 – 1.3 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+41%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.39
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cajamarca to win
37%
2.68
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Cajamarca (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
FC Cajamarca +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Sport Boys to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLLL
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
DLWLLD
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cajamarca and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Boys 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
