Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the Primera División brings Cienciano against Comerciantes Unidos at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cienciano, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico-MG, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alianza Atletico, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 1.8 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 54%, draw 24%, Comerciantes Unidos 22%.
Lower-risk option: Cienciano or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano54%fair 1.85 · @1.71
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Comerciantes Unidos22%fair 4.56 · @4.80
2.90Expected goals
1.78Cienciano xG
1.12Comerciantes Unidos xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Cienciano 1.8 – 1.1 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.71
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
54%
1.85
1.71
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Cienciano (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes Unidos +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Cienciano to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Cienciano – last 6
WLWWDW
30 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Puerto Cabello
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Juventud
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs ADT
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
WDWWLD
22 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Comerciantes Unidos 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
