Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultADT to win ✓53% · @1.64
Double chanceADT or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ADT welcome Comerciantes Unidos for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 17 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
ADT, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cienciano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Comerciantes Unidos, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for ADT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.5 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 53%, draw 26%, Comerciantes Unidos 21%.
Lower-risk option: ADT or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT53%fair 1.88 · @1.64
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.65
Comerciantes Unidos21%fair 4.79 · @5.40
2.56Expected goals
1.52ADT xG
1.04Comerciantes Unidos xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: ADT 1.5 – 1.0 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
Attack vs Primera División average
-23%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.23
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win✓
53%
1.88
1.64
Double chance
ADT or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
ADT (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes Unidos +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
ADT to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADT / FT ADT✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
WLLDLD
27 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4–0
W
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
LWDWWL
2 May
@ Cienciano
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers ADT have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Comerciantes Unidos 21%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?
ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
