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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Deportivo Los Chankas v UCV Moquegua: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 60%Draw 25%UCV Moquegua 15% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.83
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultClub Deportivo Los Chankas to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chanceClub Deportivo Los Chankas or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Deportivo Los Chankas welcome UCV Moquegua to Estadio Los Chankas for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 17 May (21:30 WAT). In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cusco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.7 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Deportivo Los Chankas 60%, draw 25%, UCV Moquegua 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Deportivo Los Chankas60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @4.40
UCV Moquegua15%fair 6.87 · @7.75
2.48Expected goals
1.66Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
0.83UCV Moquegua xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.7 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Club Deportivo Los ChankasUCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average-28%-42%
Goals conceded vs average+16%-3%
Our expected goals here1.220.76

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Deportivo Los Chankas to win ✓60%1.661.40
Double chanceClub Deportivo Los Chankas or draw ✓85%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.981.85
Draw no betClub Deportivo Los Chankas (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapUCV Moquegua +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.17
First team to scoreClub Deportivo Los Chankas to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Deportivo Los Chankas / FT Club Deportivo Los Chankas ✓35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6

DLLWWW
10 May@ Cusco1–1D
4 Mayvs Deportivo Garcilaso0–1L
27 Apr@ ADT0–4L
23 Aprvs Cienciano1–0W
17 Aprvs Atletico Grau2–0W
6 Apr@ FC Cajamarca1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

UCV Moquegua – last 6

LLWWDW
3 May@ Alianza Lima1–2L
20 Apr@ Cienciano1–2L
14 Aprvs Juan Pablo II College3–0W
3 Apr@ Sporting Cristal2–1W
1 Mar@ Sport Boys0–0D
23 Febvs Deportivo Garcilaso1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and UCV Moquegua.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?

On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UCV Moquegua 15%.

How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?

Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Los Chankas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.