ResultClub Deportivo Los Chankas to win ✓60% · @1.40
Double chanceClub Deportivo Los Chankas or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Deportivo Los Chankas welcome UCV Moquegua to Estadio Los Chankas for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 17 May (21:30 WAT). In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cusco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.7 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Deportivo Los Chankas 60%, draw 25%, UCV Moquegua 15%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Deportivo Los Chankas60%fair 1.66 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @4.40
UCV Moquegua15%fair 6.87 · @7.75
2.48Expected goals
1.66Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
0.83UCV Moquegua xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.7 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average
-28%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.76
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win✓
60%
1.66
1.40
Double chance
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Club Deportivo Los Chankas (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
UCV Moquegua +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.17
First team to score
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Deportivo Los Chankas / FT Club Deportivo Los Chankas✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
DLLWWW
10 May
@ Cusco
1–1
D
4 May
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ ADT
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLWWDW
3 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UCV Moquegua 15%.
How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Los Chankas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.