Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✗66% · @1.58
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Primera División brings Alianza Atletico against FC Cajamarca at Estadio Campeones del 36. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Macara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
FC Cajamarca, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UTC Cajamarca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 2.2 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 66%, draw 21%, FC Cajamarca 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico66%fair 1.52 · @1.58
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.75
FC Cajamarca13%fair 7.59 · @5.90
3.12Expected goals
2.19Alianza Atletico xG
0.93FC Cajamarca xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 2.2 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+41%
Our expected goals here
2.72
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✗
66%
1.52
1.58
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza Atletico (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Atletico -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
Alianza Atletico to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 6
DLLLWL
22 May
@ Macara
0–0
D
11 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–2
L
7 May
vs America de Cali
0–2
L
1 May
vs Macara
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Universitario
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
WLLLLL
8 May
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and FC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca?
Alianza Atletico vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
