Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Alianza Lima v Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cienciano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UCV Moquegua, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 2.1 xG, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 70%, draw 19%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 10%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.60
Club Deportivo Los Chankas10%fair 9.76 · @8.70
2.67Expected goals
2.07Alianza Lima xG
0.60Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.1 – 0.6 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Attack vs Primera División average
+7%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.17
0.56
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Draw no bet
Alianza Lima (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Lima -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.15
First team to score
Alianza Lima to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Alianza Lima – last 6
WDWWWL
16 May
@ Cienciano
1–0
W
10 May
vs Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
3 May
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Cusco
8–0
W
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Universitario
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
WDLLWW
17 May
vs UCV Moquegua
1–0
W
10 May
@ Cusco
1–1
D
4 May
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ ADT
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 10%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
