Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 1.68 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓66% · @1.68
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.31
Sporting Cristal vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Sporting Cristal v ADT in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Cristal, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Junior, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
ADT, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Comerciantes Unidos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ADT, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting Cristal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 2.3 xG, ADT 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 66%, draw 20%, ADT 14%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting Cristal or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Sporting Cristal to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Cristal66%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.75
ADT14%fair 7.07 · @4.85
3.12Expected goals
2.26Sporting Cristal xG
0.86ADT xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.3 – 0.9 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Cristal
ADT
Attack vs Primera División average
+46%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.71
0.87
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
66%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.77
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Cristal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LDLWLL
21 May
@ Junior
2–3
L
10 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–1
D
5 May
vs Palmeiras
0–2
L
29 Apr
vs Junior
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Atletico Grau
1–4
L
16 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ADT – last 6
WWLLDL
17 May
vs Comerciantes Unidos
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4–0
W
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and ADT.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and ADT 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs ADT?
Sporting Cristal vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
