UTC Cajamarca 41%Draw 26%Sport Boys 32%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.20
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Sport Boys to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUTC Cajamarca to win41% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.06
UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Primera División brings UTC Cajamarca against Sport Boys at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, UTC Cajamarca are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UTC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Garcilaso, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sport Boys, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cusco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sport Boys, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for UTC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UTC Cajamarca 1.3 xG, Sport Boys 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UTC Cajamarca 41%, draw 26%, Sport Boys 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Sport Boys to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UTC Cajamarca41%fair 2.43 · @1.97
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.35
Sport Boys32%fair 3.09 · @3.80
2.49Expected goals
1.29UTC Cajamarca xG
1.20Sport Boys xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.3 – 1.2 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.23
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UTC Cajamarca to win
41%
2.43
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.77
Draw no bet
UTC Cajamarca (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Sport Boys +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
UTC Cajamarca to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLDLD
17 May
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
8 May
vs FC Cajamarca
1–2
L
4 May
@ FBC Melgar
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Universitario
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
WDDLWL
17 May
vs Cusco
1–0
W
12 May
vs Universitario
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Boys 32%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?
UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
