UCV Moquegua vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Saturday 23 May: UCV Moquegua v Universitario in the Primera División, played at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Universitario, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 1.0 xG, Universitario 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 27%, draw 26%, Universitario 48%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV Moquegua27%fair 3.75 · @3.75
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Universitario48%fair 2.09 · @1.97
2.53Expected goals
1.04UCV Moquegua xG
1.49Universitario xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.0 – 1.5 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Attack vs Primera División average
-42%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.04
1.48
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario to win
48%
2.09
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Universitario (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
UCV Moquegua +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Universitario to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario / FT Universitario
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
UCV Moquegua – last 6
LLLWWD
17 May
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Cienciano
1–2
L
14 Apr
vs Juan Pablo II College
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Universitario – last 6
DLDLWL
20 May
@ Club Nacional
0–0
D
16 May
vs Atletico Grau
0–1
L
12 May
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
8 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Club Nacional
4–2
W
27 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV Moquegua and Universitario.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Universitario 48%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Universitario?
UCV Moquegua vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
