Cusco vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cusco welcome Atletico Grau to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 23 May (23:15 WAT). In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cusco, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Independiente Medellin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Atletico Grau, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universitario, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Grau, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Cusco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 1.6 xG, Atletico Grau 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 56%, draw 24%, Atletico Grau 21%.
Lower-risk option: Cusco or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cusco56%fair 1.79 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Atletico Grau21%fair 4.87 · @5.00
2.54Expected goals
1.63Cusco xG
0.91Atletico Grau xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cusco 1.6 – 0.9 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.62
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.77
Draw no bet
Cusco (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Grau +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Cusco to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Cusco – last 6
LLDDLW
21 May
vs Independiente Medellin
2–3
L
17 May
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
10 May
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
6 May
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
1 May
@ Independiente Medellin
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
WWLDWL
16 May
@ Universitario
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
4–1
W
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Cusco have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Grau 21%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Atletico Grau?
Cusco vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
