Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sporting Cristal to win @ 4.10 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCienciano to win ✓49% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cienciano welcome Sporting Cristal to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 31 May (23:00 WAT). In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cienciano, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juventud, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sporting Cristal, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cerro Porteno, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 1.8 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 49%, draw 22%, Sporting Cristal 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Sporting Cristal to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano49%fair 2.03 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.85
Sporting Cristal28%fair 3.53 · @4.10
3.19Expected goals
1.75Cienciano xG
1.44Sporting Cristal xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Cienciano 1.8 – 1.4 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
+46%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.66
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
49%
2.03
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Cienciano (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Cristal +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.18
First team to score
Cienciano to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Cienciano – last 6
DDLLLW
27 May
vs Juventud
1–1
D
24 May
@ Sport Huancayo
2–2
D
21 May
@ Atletico-MG
0–2
L
16 May
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
6 May
@ Puerto Cabello
0–3
L
2 May
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LWLDLW
28 May
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
24 May
vs ADT
2–1
W
21 May
@ Junior
2–3
L
10 May
@ Alianza Lima
1–1
D
5 May
vs Palmeiras
0–2
L
29 Apr
vs Junior
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and Sporting Cristal.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Cristal 28%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
