FC Cajamarca 20%Draw 25%Alianza Lima 56%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.67
80%
Betarazi pick
Alianza Lima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗56% · @1.81
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Sunday 31 May: FC Cajamarca v Alianza Lima in the Primera División, played at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Alianza Lima are 6th (upper half) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza Atletico, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Alianza Lima, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alianza Lima, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.0 xG, Alianza Lima 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 20%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima 56%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Lima or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza Lima or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 0–1 Alianza Lima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca20%fair 5.06 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Alianza Lima56%fair 1.80 · @1.81
2.62Expected goals
0.95FC Cajamarca xG
1.67Alianza Lima xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.0 – 1.7 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+41%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.70
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✗
56%
1.80
1.81
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Alianza Lima (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
FC Cajamarca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Alianza Lima to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
FC Cajamarca – last 6
DWLLLL
24 May
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
8 May
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Cusco
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Lima – last 6
WWDWWW
24 May
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3–0
W
16 May
@ Cienciano
1–0
W
10 May
vs Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
3 May
vs UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Cusco
8–0
W
14 Apr
@ ADT
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima.
What is the prediction for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Alianza Lima or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza Lima 56%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 0–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
