Value bet: Haiti to win @ 3.65 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIceland to win ✗43% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.74
Haiti vs Iceland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Haiti v Iceland in the Friendlies, played at BMO Field.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haiti 1.5 xG, Iceland 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haiti 34%, draw 24%, Iceland 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Haiti to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haiti 1–1 Iceland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haiti34%fair 2.96 · @3.65
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Iceland43%fair 2.35 · @1.85
2.81Expected goals
1.48Haiti xG
1.32Iceland xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.5 – 1.3 Iceland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Haiti
Iceland
Attack vs Friendlies average
-1%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.04
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iceland to win✗
43%
2.35
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Iceland (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Iceland +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Haiti to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.74
–
Recent results
Haiti – last 1
L
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Iceland – last 1
L
26 Feb
@ Mexico
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and Iceland.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Haiti vs Iceland?
On our numbers Haiti have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iceland 43%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs Iceland?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Iceland?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–1 Iceland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs Iceland?
Haiti vs Iceland (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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