Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBelgium to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Belgium vs Tunisia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 6 June the Friendlies brings Belgium against Tunisia at Roi Baudouin. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Tunisia, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Austria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Belgium 2.2 xG, Tunisia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Belgium 72%, draw 18%, Tunisia 9%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgium 2–0 Tunisia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Belgium72%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @4.80
Tunisia9%fair 10.56 · @10.50
2.85Expected goals
2.17Belgium xG
0.68Tunisia xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Belgium 2.2 – 0.7 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Belgium
Tunisia
Attack vs Friendlies average
+21%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+1%
Our expected goals here
2.57
0.84
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Belgium (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Belgium -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Belgium to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Belgium – last 2
WD
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tunisia – last 3
LDW
1 Jun
@ Austria
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Canada
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Haiti
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Tunisia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Belgium vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Belgium have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tunisia 9%.
How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Tunisia?
Our predicted score is Belgium 2–0 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Belgium vs Tunisia?
Belgium vs Tunisia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Roi Baudouin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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