Value bet: Haiti to win @ 2.74 – our chance 47% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHaiti to win ✗47% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.10
Haiti vs Peru: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Haiti welcome Peru to Nu Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Saturday 6 June (01:00 WAT).
Current form
Haiti, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over New Zealand, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haiti 1.7 xG, Peru 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haiti 47%, draw 25%, Peru 28%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Haiti to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haiti 1–1 Peru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haiti47%fair 2.12 · @2.74
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.15
Peru28%fair 3.55 · @2.58
2.72Expected goals
1.67Haiti xG
1.05Peru xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.7 – 1.0 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Haiti
Peru
Attack vs Friendlies average
-1%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.06
1.01
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haiti to win✗
47%
2.12
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Haiti (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Peru +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
Haiti to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.10
–
Recent results
Haiti – last 3
WDL
3 Jun
vs New Zealand
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Iceland
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Tunisia
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Peru – last 1
D
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and Peru.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Haiti vs Peru?
On our numbers Haiti have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Peru 28%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs Peru?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–1 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs Peru?
Haiti vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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