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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

China PR U23 v Tajikistan U23: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

China PR U23

WDD
1–0
FT

Tajikistan U23

W
China PR U23 60%Draw 22%Tajikistan U23 18% Expected goals 1.30 – 0.50
82%
Betarazi pick

China PR U23 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: China PR U23 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChina PR U23 to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceChina PR U23 or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.31

China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 6 June the Friendlies brings China PR U23 against Tajikistan U23. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT.

Current form

China PR U23, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vietnam U23, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give China PR U23 1.3 xG, Tajikistan U23 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – China PR U23 60%, draw 22%, Tajikistan U23 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: China PR U23 or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: China PR U23 to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was China PR U23 or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: China PR U23 1–0 Tajikistan U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

China PR U2360%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Tajikistan U2318%fair 5.58 · @3.70
1.80Expected goals
1.30China PR U23 xG
0.50Tajikistan U23 xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: China PR U23 1.3 – 0.5 Tajikistan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChina PR U23 to win ✓60%1.661.80 ▲
Double chanceChina PR U23 or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.001.67
Draw no betChina PR U23 (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapTajikistan U23 +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreChina PR U23 to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT China PR U23 / FT China PR U23 ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.31–

Recent results

China PR U23 – last 3

WDD
31 Marvs Vietnam U231–0W
28 Marvs Korea DPR U231–1D
25 Marvs Thailand U232–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tajikistan U23 – last 1

W
31 Mar@ India U231–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between China PR U23 and Tajikistan U23.

China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Canada1 Rep. Of Ireland1 158%1.51X25%3.90217%6.50 1.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Haiti1 Peru2 147%2.74X25%3.15228%2.58 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Vanuatu2 Fiji1 151%2.09X22%3.80227%2.96 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.40 ✓
FT Thailand U232 Korea Republic U233 118%5.00X20%3.80263%1.50 1.2–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.85 ✓
FT Myanmar6 Guam1 139%17.00X17%7.00244%1.11 2.3–2.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.36 ✓
FT Belgium5 Tunisia0 172%1.30X18%4.8029%10.50 2.2–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Armenia1 Kazakhstan1 147%2.00X26%3.10226%3.60 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?

Our pick is China PR U23 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?

On our numbers China PR U23 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tajikistan U23 18%.

How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?

Our predicted score is China PR U23 1–0 Tajikistan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23?

China PR U23 vs Tajikistan U23 (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.