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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Croatia v Slovenia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Stadion Varteks

Slovenia

Croatia 54%Draw 22%Slovenia 25% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.31

75%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.30Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCroatia to win ✓54% · @1.39

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.25

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.08

Croatia vs Slovenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slovenia travel to face Croatia on Sunday 7 June in the Friendlies, with Stadion Varteks the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Croatia, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Belgium, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Croatia 1.6 xG, Slovenia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia 54%, draw 22%, Slovenia 25%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia 1–1 Slovenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Croatia54%fair 1.87 · @1.39

Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.45

Slovenia25%fair 4.05 · @8.10

2.86Expected goals

1.55Croatia xG

1.31Slovenia xG

54%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

1–28%

0–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Croatia 1.6 – 1.3 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Croatia	Slovenia
Attack vs Friendlies average	-3%	+2%
Goals conceded vs average	+2%	+2%
Our expected goals here	1.34	1.73

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Croatia to win ✓	54%	1.87	1.39
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.85	2.25 ▲
Draw no bet	Croatia (draw no bet) ✓	68%	1.46	–
Asian handicap	Slovenia +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.10
First team to score	Croatia to score first	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.45	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Croatia / FT Croatia ✗	26%	3.90	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.08	–

Recent results

Croatia – last 3

LLW

2 Jun	vs Belgium	0–2	L
1 Apr	@ Brazil	1–3	L
27 Mar	@ Colombia	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Slovenia – last 2

4 Jun	vs Cyprus	1–1	D
31 Mar	@ Montenegro	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Croatia and Slovenia.

Croatia vs Slovenia head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Curaçao4

Aruba0 167%1.09X17%8.00216%21.00 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓

Argentina2

Honduras0 178%1.11X14%7.7527%25.00 2.8–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✗

Afghanistan0

Pakistan2 139%2.38X23%3.00238%2.85 0.8–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓

Liechtenstein0

Cyprus2 117%10.00X22%4.60260%1.28 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Kenya4

Lesotho0 165%1.70X22%3.20214%5.10 1.6–0.5xG 1Kenya to win 65%@1.70 ✓

–

Oman

Mozambique 126%2.35X53%3.00220%2.95 1.3–1.2xG 1XOman or draw 80%@1.30

Maldives1

Bangladesh U231 129%2.10X51%3.25220%3.00 0.9–0.8xG 1XMaldives or draw 80%@1.30 ✓

–

Denmark2

Ukraine1 158%1.65X24%3.70218%5.10 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Croatia vs Slovenia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Croatia vs Slovenia?

On our numbers Croatia have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Slovenia 25%.

How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Slovenia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Slovenia?

Our predicted score is Croatia 1–1 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Croatia vs Slovenia?

Croatia vs Slovenia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.