Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHungary to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.76
Hungary vs Greece: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hungary welcome Greece to Puskás Aréna for a Friendlies fixture on Tuesday 31 March (18:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hungary 1.0 xG, Greece 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hungary 41%, draw 28%, Greece 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hungary 1–0 Greece. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hungary41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
Greece31%fair 3.21 · @2.85
1.86Expected goals
1.02Hungary xG
0.84Greece xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hungary 1.0 – 0.8 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hungary
Greece
Attack vs Friendlies average
+2%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.09
0.91
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hungary to win✗
41%
2.44
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Draw no bet
Hungary (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Greece +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Hungary to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.76
–
Recent results
Hungary
No recent results on record.
Greece – last 1
L
27 Mar
vs Paraguay
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Greece.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hungary vs Greece?
On our numbers Hungary have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Greece 31%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Greece?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hungary vs Greece?
Our predicted score is Hungary 1–0 Greece, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hungary vs Greece?
Hungary vs Greece (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.