Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultMafra to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Amarante vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Amarante v Mafra in the Liga 3, played at Amarante Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amarante 1.3 xG, Mafra 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amarante 34%, draw 27%, Mafra 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amarante 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amarante34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.90
Mafra39%fair 2.53 · @2.30
2.60Expected goals
1.25Amarante xG
1.35Mafra xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.3 – 1.3 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
39%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Amarante +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Amarante
No recent results on record.
Mafra – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Varzim
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Amarante vs Mafra?
On our numbers Amarante have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mafra 39%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Mafra?
Amarante vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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