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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União Santarém v Guimaraes B: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Campo Cha das Padeiras
União Santarém 40%Draw 27%Guimaraes B 33% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.12
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnião Santarém to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09

União Santarém vs Guimaraes B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

União Santarém welcome Guimaraes B to Campo Cha das Padeiras for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 21 February (12:00 WAT). In the table, União Santarém are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Guimaraes B are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União Santarém 1.3 xG, Guimaraes B 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União Santarém 40%, draw 27%, Guimaraes B 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Santarém 1–1 Guimaraes B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União Santarém40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.90
Guimaraes B33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.27União Santarém xG
1.12Guimaraes B xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: União Santarém 1.3 – 1.1 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnião Santarém to win ✗40%2.482.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.762.00 ▲
Draw no betUnião Santarém (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapGuimaraes B +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreUnião Santarém to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT União Santarém / FT União Santarém ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.09–

Recent results

União Santarém

No recent results on record.

Guimaraes B – last 1

D
15 Febvs CF Os Belenenses2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Guimaraes B.

União Santarém vs Guimaraes B head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Guimaraes B?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win União Santarém vs Guimaraes B?

On our numbers União Santarém have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guimaraes B 33%.

How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Guimaraes B?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Guimaraes B?

Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–1 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is União Santarém vs Guimaraes B?

União Santarém vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.