Varzim vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trofense travel to face Varzim on Saturday 21 February in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Varzim are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Trofense are 10th (upper half) with 5.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varzim 1.8 xG, Trofense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varzim 51%, draw 24%, Trofense 25%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varzim 1–1 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varzim51%fair 1.96 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.10
Trofense25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
2.82Expected goals
1.79Varzim xG
1.03Trofense xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Varzim 1.8 – 1.0 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varzim to win
51%
1.96
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Varzim (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Varzim to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Varzim ahead at half-time
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varzim / FT Varzim
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Varzim – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Mafra
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Trofense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varzim and Trofense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Varzim vs Trofense?
On our numbers Varzim have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trofense 25%.
How many goals will there be in Varzim vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varzim vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Varzim 1–1 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Varzim vs Trofense?
Varzim vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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