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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mafra v CF Os Belenenses: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Mafra

Mafra

LLDLW
Sun 22 Mar 2026
Mafra 35%Draw 26%CF Os Belenenses 39% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.50
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultCF Os Belenenses to win39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.78

Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Mafra v CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3, played at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; CF Os Belenenses are 1st (leading the league) with 21.

Current form

Mafra, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guimaraes B, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.5 xG, CF Os Belenenses 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 35%, draw 26%, CF Os Belenenses 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–1 CF Os Belenenses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mafra35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.90
CF Os Belenenses39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.97Expected goals
1.47Mafra xG
1.50CF Os Belenenses xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Mafra 1.5 – 1.5 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Os Belenenses to win39%2.592.50
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.711.80 ▲
Draw no betCF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapMafra +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.22–
First team to scoreCF Os Belenenses to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.78–

Recent results

Mafra – last 5

LLDLW
8 Marvs Guimaraes B1–2L
4 Mar@ União Santarém1–3L
27 Feb@ Trofense1–1D
21 Feb@ Amarante0–1L
15 Febvs Varzim1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

CF Os Belenenses – last 2

LD
1 Marvs Amarante1–2L
15 Feb@ Guimaraes B2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mafra and CF Os Belenenses.

Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

On our numbers Mafra have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CF Os Belenenses 39%.

How many goals will there be in Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Our predicted score is Mafra 1–1 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses?

Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.