Value bet: Academica to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAcademica to win46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.37
Trofense vs Academica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Liga 3 brings Trofense against Academica. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.
Current form
Trofense, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guimaraes B, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 1.2 xG, Academica 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 29%, draw 25%, Academica 46%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Academica to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 Academica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trofense29%fair 3.44 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Academica46%fair 2.16 · @2.38
2.88Expected goals
1.15Trofense xG
1.72Academica xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.2 – 1.7 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win
46%
2.16
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Academica (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Academica to score first
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Trofense – last 3
WLD
15 Mar
@ Guimaraes B
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Amarante
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Mafra
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Academica
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and Academica.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Trofense vs Academica?
On our numbers Trofense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Academica 46%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs Academica?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs Academica?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs Academica?
Trofense vs Academica (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante2