Value bet: Paredes to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFafe to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24
Fafe vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Liga 3 brings Fafe against Paredes at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Fafe are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
Fafe, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AD Marco 09, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Paredes, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to São João Ver, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Paredes 0–0 Fafe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.3 xG, Paredes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 41%, draw 27%, Paredes 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Paredes to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–1 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fafe41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.88
Paredes32%fair 3.10 · @3.70
2.56Expected goals
1.29Fafe xG
1.27Paredes xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.3 – 1.3 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Fafe vs Paredes?
On our numbers Fafe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paredes 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Paredes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–1 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Paredes?
Fafe vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante2
Academica1