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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guimaraes B v Mafra: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Academia Vitoria SC

Guimaraes B

DWLLW
0–2
FT

Mafra

LWWLL
Guimaraes B 43%Draw 25%Mafra 32% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.23
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30

Guimaraes B vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Liga 3 brings Guimaraes B against Mafra at Academia Vitoria SC. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Guimaraes B are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Mafra are 5th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guimaraes B, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with União Santarém, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Mafra, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Amarante, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Guimaraes B, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Mafra.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Mafra 1–2 Guimaraes B.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guimaraes B 1.4 xG, Mafra 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guimaraes B 43%, draw 25%, Mafra 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guimaraes B 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guimaraes B43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Mafra32%fair 3.12 · @3.25
2.68Expected goals
1.45Guimaraes B xG
1.23Mafra xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.4 – 1.2 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuimaraes B to win ✗43%2.342.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.80
Draw no betGuimaraes B (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapMafra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreGuimaraes B to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guimaraes B / FT Guimaraes B ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.30–

Recent results

Guimaraes B – last 6

DWLLWW
19 Aprvs União Santarém1–1D
4 Aprvs Academica1–0W
22 Mar@ Amarante1–2L
15 Marvs Trofense1–2L
8 Mar@ Mafra2–1W
21 Feb@ União Santarém1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mafra – last 6

LWWLLD
19 Aprvs Amarante1–4L
11 Apr@ Varzim2–0W
3 Aprvs União Santarém2–1W
8 Marvs Guimaraes B1–2L
4 Mar@ União Santarém1–3L
27 Feb@ Trofense1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Mafra v Guimaraes B1–2
Guimaraes B vs Mafra head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub
– SC Braga B Fafe 151%1.85X25%3.25224%3.85 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22
– Paredes AD Marco 09 145%2.95X25%3.10231%2.30 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20
– São João Ver Sanjoanense 151%1.67X25%3.55224%4.60 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
– Academica Varzim 156%1.60X23%3.50221%5.25 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Mafra?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Guimaraes B vs Mafra?

On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mafra 32%.

How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Mafra?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Mafra?

Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Guimaraes B vs Mafra?

Guimaraes B vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.