Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceSerra Branca or draw ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗5% · fair 18.29
Porto BA vs Serra Branca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Porto BA welcome Serra Branca to Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Wednesday 18 February (20:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Porto BA 1.2 xG, Serra Branca 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Porto BA 26%, draw 38%, Serra Branca 36%.
Lower-risk option: Serra Branca or draw (74%) at 1.44.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Serra Branca or draw (74%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porto BA 1–1 Serra Branca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Porto BA26%fair 3.78 · @2.70
Draw38%fair 2.63 · @2.80
Serra Branca36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
2.73Expected goals
1.19Porto BA xG
1.55Serra Branca xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Porto BA 1.2 – 1.5 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
38%
2.63
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Serra Branca or draw✗
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Serra Branca (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Porto BA +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Serra Branca to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Serra Branca / FT Serra Branca✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
5%
18.29
–
Recent results
Porto BA – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Serra Branca
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porto BA and Serra Branca.
What is the prediction for Porto BA vs Serra Branca?
Our pick is Serra Branca or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Porto BA vs Serra Branca?
On our numbers Porto BA have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Serra Branca 36%.
How many goals will there be in Porto BA vs Serra Branca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Porto BA vs Serra Branca?
Our predicted score is Porto BA 1–1 Serra Branca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Porto BA vs Serra Branca?
Porto BA vs Serra Branca (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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