Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win @ 1.82 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSampaio Corrêa RJ to win ✗61% · @1.82
Double chanceSampaio Corrêa RJ or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 February the Copa Do Brasil brings Sampaio Corrêa RJ against Desportiva ES at Estádio Lourival Gomes de Almeida. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.7 xG, Desportiva ES 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sampaio Corrêa RJ 61%, draw 27%, Desportiva ES 13%.
Lower-risk option: Sampaio Corrêa RJ or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Desportiva ES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ61%fair 1.65 · @1.82
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
Desportiva ES13%fair 7.83 · @4.35
2.38Expected goals
1.70Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
0.67Desportiva ES xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.7 – 0.7 Desportiva ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win✗
61%
1.65
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Sampaio Corrêa RJ or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.70
Draw no bet
Sampaio Corrêa RJ (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Sampaio Corrêa RJ -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Corrêa RJ / FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.32
–
Recent results
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
No recent results on record.
Desportiva ES
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Desportiva ES.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Desportiva ES 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–0 Desportiva ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Desportiva ES (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Lourival Gomes de Almeida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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