Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManauara to win ✓38% · @2.72
Double chanceManauara or draw ✓74% · @1.50
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Manauara vs AO Itabaiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manauara welcome AO Itabaiana to Arena da Amazonia for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 5 March (01:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manauara 1.4 xG, AO Itabaiana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manauara 38%, draw 36%, AO Itabaiana 26%.
Lower-risk option: Manauara or draw (74%) at 1.50.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Manauara or draw (74%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manauara 1–0 AO Itabaiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manauara38%fair 2.62 · @2.72
Draw36%fair 2.77 · @3.20
AO Itabaiana26%fair 3.89 · @2.45
2.35Expected goals
1.43Manauara xG
0.92AO Itabaiana xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Manauara 1.4 – 0.9 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manauara to win✓
38%
2.62
2.72
Double chance
Manauara or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.50 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Manauara (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Manauara to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manauara / FT Manauara✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Manauara – last 2
WD
26 Feb
vs JC
3–2
W
19 Feb
@ Amazonas
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 2
WW
26 Feb
@ Confiança
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Falcon
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manauara and AO Itabaiana.
What is the prediction for Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Manauara or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Manauara have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 36% and AO Itabaiana 26%.
How many goals will there be in Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Manauara 1–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
Manauara vs AO Itabaiana (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Amazonia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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