Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✗64% · @1.59
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Desportiva ES welcome Sport Recife to Estádio Kleber Andrade for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Thursday 5 March (23:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Desportiva ES 0.8 xG, Sport Recife 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Desportiva ES 16%, draw 20%, Sport Recife 64%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Recife or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desportiva ES 0–2 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Desportiva ES16%fair 6.34 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.60
Sport Recife64%fair 1.56 · @1.59
2.73Expected goals
0.81Desportiva ES xG
1.92Sport Recife xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Desportiva ES 0.8 – 1.9 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
64%
1.56
1.59
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Sport Recife -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sport Recife ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Desportiva ES – last 1
D
28 Feb
@ Vilavelhense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sport Recife
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desportiva ES and Sport Recife.
What is the prediction for Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Desportiva ES have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sport Recife 64%.
How many goals will there be in Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Desportiva ES 0–2 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Kleber Andrade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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