America Mineiro 69%Draw 19%TirolCEFAT 13%Expected goals 2.18 – 0.82
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAmerica Mineiro to win ✗69% · @1.18
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
TirolCEFAT travel to face America Mineiro on Thursday 5 March in the Copa Do Brasil – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 2.2 xG, TirolCEFAT 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 69%, draw 19%, TirolCEFAT 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 2–0 TirolCEFAT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro69%fair 1.46 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @5.60
TirolCEFAT13%fair 7.96 · @15.50
3.00Expected goals
2.18America Mineiro xG
0.82TirolCEFAT xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 2.2 – 0.8 TirolCEFAT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America Mineiro to win✗
69%
1.46
1.18
Double chance
America Mineiro or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
America Mineiro (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
America Mineiro to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
America Mineiro ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America Mineiro / FT America Mineiro✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
America Mineiro – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico-MG
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
TirolCEFAT
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and TirolCEFAT.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and TirolCEFAT 13%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 2–0 TirolCEFAT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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