Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Novorizontino vs Nacional AM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: Novorizontino v Nacional AM in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.6 xG, Nacional AM 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 63%, draw 23%, Nacional AM 14%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 Nacional AM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino63%fair 1.60 · @1.23
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.80
Nacional AM14%fair 6.96 · @14.00
2.44Expected goals
1.65Novorizontino xG
0.79Nacional AM xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.6 – 0.8 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
63%
1.60
1.23
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.40
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Nacional AM +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.95
–
Recent results
Novorizontino – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Santos
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nacional AM – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Manaus FC
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Nacional AM.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional AM 14%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Nacional AM?
Novorizontino vs Nacional AM (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America-RN3
GAS0
Castanhal1
Guarani Campinas1
Juazeirense1
Capital Brasilia1
Londrina1
Penedense0
Retrô1
Uberlandia2
São Luiz0
Maranhão1
Tombense1
Oratório1
Anápolis3
Cianorte1