Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSão Luiz to win ✗39% · @2.08
Double chanceSão Luiz or draw ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
São Luiz vs Maranhão: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 25 February the Copa Do Brasil brings São Luiz against Maranhão. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Luiz 1.2 xG, Maranhão 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Luiz 39%, draw 39%, Maranhão 23%.
Lower-risk option: São Luiz or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was São Luiz or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Luiz 1–0 Maranhão. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Luiz39%fair 2.58 · @2.08
Draw39%fair 2.59 · @3.00
Maranhão23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
2.14Expected goals
1.23São Luiz xG
0.90Maranhão xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: São Luiz 1.2 – 0.9 Maranhão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Luiz to win✗
39%
2.58
2.08
Double chance
São Luiz or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
São Luiz (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Maranhão +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
São Luiz to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Luiz / FT São Luiz✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
São Luiz – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Caxias
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maranhão – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs IAPE
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Luiz and Maranhão.
Our pick is São Luiz or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win São Luiz vs Maranhão?
On our numbers São Luiz have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 39% and Maranhão 23%.
How many goals will there be in São Luiz vs Maranhão?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Luiz vs Maranhão?
Our predicted score is São Luiz 1–0 Maranhão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is São Luiz vs Maranhão?
São Luiz vs Maranhão (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America-RN3
GAS0
Castanhal1
Guarani Campinas1
Juazeirense1
Capital Brasilia1
Novorizontino4
Nacional AM0
Londrina1
Penedense0
Retrô1
Uberlandia2
Tombense1
Oratório1
Anápolis3
Cianorte1