Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Borussia Dortmund to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Borussia Dortmund v Atalanta in the UEFA Champions League, played at Signal Iduna Park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund 2.0 xG, Atalanta 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund 52%, draw 23%, Atalanta 25%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Borussia Dortmund to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Dortmund52%fair 1.92 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Atalanta25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
3.07Expected goals
1.98Borussia Dortmund xG
1.08Atalanta xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.0 – 1.1 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.60
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Atalanta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Borussia Dortmund – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atalanta
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atalanta 25%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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