Monaco 21%Draw 21%Paris Saint Germain 58%Expected goals 1.27 – 2.03
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓58% · @1.44
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 February the UEFA Champions League brings Monaco against Paris Saint Germain at Stade Louis II. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monaco 1.3 xG, Paris Saint Germain 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monaco 21%, draw 21%, Paris Saint Germain 58%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monaco 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monaco21%fair 4.86 · @6.40
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.50
Paris Saint Germain58%fair 1.71 · @1.44
3.30Expected goals
1.27Monaco xG
2.03Paris Saint Germain xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monaco 1.3 – 2.0 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
58%
1.71
1.44
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Monaco +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Monaco – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Nantes
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Rennes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monaco and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Monaco have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paris Saint Germain 58%.
How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Monaco 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus2
Benfica0
Atalanta0