Paris Saint Germain v Monaco Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✗67% · @1.27

Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓84% · @1.06

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Wednesday 25 February: Paris Saint Germain v Monaco in the UEFA Champions League, played at Parc des Princes.

Current form

Monaco, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lens, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint Germain.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paris Saint Germain 2.4 xG, Monaco 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Paris Saint Germain 67%, draw 17%, Monaco 16%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paris Saint Germain67%fair 1.49 · @1.27

Draw17%fair 5.74 · @6.50

Monaco16%fair 6.41 · @7.90

3.58Expected goals

2.43Paris Saint Germain xG

1.15Monaco xG

66%Both score

72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

2–08%

1–18%

3–18%

1–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.4 – 1.2 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Paris Saint Germain to win ✗	67%	1.49	1.27
Double chance	Paris Saint Germain or draw ✓	84%	1.18	1.06
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.55
Draw no bet	Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Paris Saint Germain -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	52%	1.93	1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	1.48
First team to score	Paris Saint Germain to score first ✗	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain ✗	43%	2.31	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.57	–

Paris Saint Germain – last 2

17 Feb	@ Monaco	3–2	W
13 Feb	@ Rennes	1–3	L

2.0Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Monaco – last 3

WLW

21 Feb	@ Lens	3–2	W
17 Feb	vs Paris Saint Germain	2–3	L
13 Feb	vs Nantes	3–1	W

2.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monaco 16%.

How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Paris Saint Germain v Monaco: numbers & prediction