FK Liepaja 17%Draw 21%Riga 62%Expected goals 1.07 – 2.08
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win62% · @1.40
Double chanceRiga or draw83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.08
FK Liepaja vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: FK Liepaja v Riga in the Virsliga, played at Daugavas stadions. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.1 xG, Riga 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 17%, draw 21%, Riga 62%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja17%fair 6.04 · @5.60
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.60
Riga62%fair 1.60 · @1.40
3.15Expected goals
1.07FK Liepaja xG
2.08Riga xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.1 – 2.1 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win
62%
1.60
1.40
Double chance
Riga or draw
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.60
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Riga -0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Riga to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
FK Liepaja – last 1
W
27 Feb
vs FS Jelgava
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Riga – last 2
WW
24 Feb
@ Flora Tallinn
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Auda
4–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Riga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Riga?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Riga 62%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Riga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Riga?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Riga?
FK Liepaja vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
