Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Virsliga brings Super Nova against FS Jelgava at Slokas Stadions. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Super Nova, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Auda, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.2 xG, FS Jelgava 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 30%, draw 26%, FS Jelgava 45%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova30%fair 3.38 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
FS Jelgava45%fair 2.25 · @1.95
2.65Expected goals
1.24Super Nova xG
1.41FS Jelgava xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.2 – 1.4 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FS Jelgava to win✗
45%
2.25
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
FS Jelgava (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Super Nova +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
FS Jelgava to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FS Jelgava / FT FS Jelgava✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Super Nova – last 3
LLD
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Paide
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FS Jelgava – last 2
WL
8 Mar
vs Tukums
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ FK Liepaja
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Super Nova and FS Jelgava.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FS Jelgava 45%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Super Nova vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
