Ogre United vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Ogre United v Tukums in the Virsliga. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Tukums are 9th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.4 xG, Tukums 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 37%, draw 25%, Tukums 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United37%fair 2.71 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.30
Tukums38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
2.78Expected goals
1.37Ogre United xG
1.41Tukums xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.4 – 1.4 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tukums to win✗
38%
2.62
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Tukums (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Ogre United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Tukums to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tukums / FT Tukums✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Ogre United – last 2
LL
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tukums – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ FS Jelgava
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Tukums.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ogre United vs Tukums?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tukums 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Tukums?
Ogre United vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
