Ogre United vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Virsliga brings Ogre United against Super Nova. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ogre United, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FK Liepaja, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Super Nova, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tukums, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Super Nova, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Ogre United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.1 xG, Super Nova 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 29%, draw 26%, Super Nova 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United29%fair 3.42 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.10
Super Nova44%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.44Expected goals
1.07Ogre United xG
1.37Super Nova xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.1 – 1.4 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Super Nova to win✓
44%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
Super Nova (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Ogre United +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Super Nova to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Super Nova / FT Super Nova✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Ogre United – last 4
LDLL
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Tukums
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Super Nova – last 5
WDLLD
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Paide
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Super Nova.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ogre United vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Super Nova 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Ogre United vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
