BFC Daugavpils 28%Draw 26%FK Liepaja 45%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.28
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: BFC Daugavpils to win @ 3.80 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗45% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.28
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja travel to face BFC Daugavpils on Friday 3 April in the Virsliga, with Stadions Celtnieks the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, BFC Daugavpils are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ogre United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 1.3 xG, FK Liepaja 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 28%, draw 26%, FK Liepaja 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: BFC Daugavpils to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 1–1 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils28%fair 3.51 · @3.80
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.50
FK Liepaja45%fair 2.22 · @1.75
2.54Expected goals
1.26BFC Daugavpils xG
1.28FK Liepaja xG
62%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 1.3 – 1.3 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Liepaja to win✗
45%
2.22
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
FK Liepaja (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
BFC Daugavpils +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
FK Liepaja to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
BFC Daugavpils – last 2
LL
7 Mar
vs Grobiņa
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Suduva Marijampole
3–5
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Liepaja – last 3
WLW
20 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs FS Jelgava
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BFC Daugavpils and FK Liepaja.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Liepaja 45%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja?
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
