Grobiņa vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Grobiņa v Super Nova in the Virsliga. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tukums, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Super Nova, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ogre United, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 1.2 xG, Super Nova 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 38%, draw 27%, Super Nova 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 1–1 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa38%fair 2.62 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
Super Nova35%fair 2.86 · @2.90
2.32Expected goals
1.17Grobiņa xG
1.16Super Nova xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.2 – 1.2 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grobiņa to win✗
38%
2.62
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Grobiņa (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Super Nova +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Grobiņa to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grobiņa / FT Grobiņa✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.96
–
Recent results
Grobiņa – last 3
DWL
5 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Super Nova – last 6
WWDLLD
3 Apr
@ Ogre United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Paide
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grobiņa and Super Nova.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Super Nova 35%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
