Tukums vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tukums welcome Rīgas FS for a Virsliga fixture on Monday 13 April (15:30 WAT). In the table, Tukums are 9th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 64 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tukums, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Riga, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Rīgas FS, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FS Jelgava, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.6 for Tukums.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tukums 0.7 xG, Rīgas FS 2.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tukums 9%, draw 18%, Rīgas FS 74%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tukums 0–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tukums9%fair 11.76 · @13.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.50
Rīgas FS74%fair 1.36 · @1.20
3.00Expected goals
0.70Tukums xG
2.30Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tukums 0.7 – 2.3 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
74%
1.36
1.20
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Rīgas FS (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Rīgas FS -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
Rīgas FS to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Tukums – last 5
DDLDL
9 Apr
@ Riga
3–3
D
5 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ FS Jelgava
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 4
WLWW
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tukums and Rīgas FS.
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Tukums have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rīgas FS 74%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Tukums 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Rīgas FS?
Tukums vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
