Ogre United vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grobiņa travel to face Ogre United on Monday 13 April in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to BFC Daugavpils, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Grobiņa, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Super Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Grobiņa, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Ogre United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.1 xG, Grobiņa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 28%, draw 25%, Grobiņa 47%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United28%fair 3.53 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Grobiņa47%fair 2.13 · @1.95
2.45Expected goals
1.12Ogre United xG
1.34Grobiņa xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.1 – 1.3 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grobiņa to win✗
47%
2.13
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.83
Draw no bet
Grobiņa (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Ogre United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Grobiņa to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grobiņa / FT Grobiņa✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Ogre United – last 6
LLLDLL
7 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Tukums
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grobiņa – last 4
LDWL
9 Apr
vs Super Nova
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Grobiņa.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grobiņa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Ogre United vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.