Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAuda to win ✗67% · @1.36
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Ogre United vs Auda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Virsliga brings Ogre United against Auda. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; Auda are 3rd (among the top four) with 73. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grobiņa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Auda, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to BFC Daugavpils, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Auda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Ogre United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 0.9 xG, Auda 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 12%, draw 21%, Auda 67%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 0–2 Auda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United12%fair 8.05 · @7.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.20
Auda67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
2.97Expected goals
0.86Ogre United xG
2.11Auda xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.9 – 2.1 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auda to win✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
Auda or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Auda (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Auda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Auda to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Auda ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auda / FT Auda✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Ogre United – last 6
DLLLDL
13 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Tukums
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Auda – last 6
LWWLWL
12 Apr
vs BFC Daugavpils
2–3
L
8 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Rīgas FS
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Riga
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Super Nova
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Riga
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and Auda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ogre United vs Auda?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auda 67%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs Auda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs Auda?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–2 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs Auda?
Ogre United vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
