Rīgas FS 76%Draw 18%Super Nova 7%Expected goals 2.33 – 0.60
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win76% · @1.17
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.50
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rīgas FS welcome Super Nova to LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass for a Virsliga fixture on Saturday 18 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40. There are 49 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tukums, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Super Nova, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.7 for Super Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.3 xG, Super Nova 0.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 76%, draw 18%, Super Nova 7%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 2–0 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS76%fair 1.32 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @5.75
Super Nova7%fair 14.86 · @14.00
2.93Expected goals
2.33Rīgas FS xG
0.60Super Nova xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.3 – 0.6 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win
76%
1.32
1.17
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.95
Draw no bet
Rīgas FS (draw no bet)
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Rīgas FS -1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.28
First team to score
Rīgas FS to score first
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Rīgas FS – last 5
WWLWW
13 Apr
@ Tukums
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Super Nova – last 6
LWWWDL
14 Apr
vs Riga
1–4
L
9 Apr
@ Grobiņa
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Ogre United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rīgas FS and Super Nova.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Super Nova 7%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
