Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Grobiņa v Rīgas FS in the Virsliga. In the table, Grobiņa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 60 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grobiņa, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Riga, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tukums, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.8 for Grobiņa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grobiņa 0.6 xG, Rīgas FS 2.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grobiņa 9%, draw 18%, Rīgas FS 73%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.07.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grobiņa 0–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grobiņa9%fair 10.57 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.90
Rīgas FS73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
2.71Expected goals
0.61Grobiņa xG
2.10Rīgas FS xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–215%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.6 – 2.1 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.07 ▲
Draw no bet
Rīgas FS (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Rīgas FS -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Rīgas FS to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Grobiņa – last 6
LDLDWL
18 Apr
vs Riga
0–3
L
13 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Super Nova
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Tukums
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 5
WWLWW
13 Apr
@ Tukums
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grobiņa and Rīgas FS.
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rīgas FS 73%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
