Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓82% · @1.08
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Riga vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the Virsliga brings Riga against Ogre United at Skonto stadions. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; Ogre United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 64 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Grobiņa, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Ogre United, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Auda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Ogre United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 3.1 xG, Ogre United 0.7 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 82%, draw 13%, Ogre United 6%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 3–0 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga82%fair 1.22 · @1.08
Draw13%fair 7.98 · @8.00
Ogre United6%fair 17.38 · @17.00
3.79Expected goals
3.09Riga xG
0.70Ogre United xG
53%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–011%
2–011%
4–09%
3–18%
2–18%
1–07%
From our goals model: Riga 3.1 – 0.7 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Riga -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.29
First team to score
Riga to score first✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✓
61%
1.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Riga – last 6
WWDWWW
18 Apr
@ Grobiņa
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Super Nova
4–1
W
9 Apr
vs Tukums
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Auda
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Flora Tallinn
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Auda
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ogre United – last 6
DDLLLD
17 Apr
vs Auda
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Tukums
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and Ogre United.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Riga vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Riga have a 82% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Ogre United 6%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs Ogre United?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Riga 3–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Riga vs Ogre United?
Riga vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
