Ogre United vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FS Jelgava travel to face Ogre United on Monday 27 April in the Virsliga – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ogre United are 10th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ogre United, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Riga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FS Jelgava, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ogre United 1.2 xG, FS Jelgava 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ogre United 31%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ogre United 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ogre United31%fair 3.27 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
FS Jelgava45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
2.81Expected goals
1.21Ogre United xG
1.60FS Jelgava xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.2 – 1.6 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FS Jelgava to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
FS Jelgava (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Ogre United +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
FS Jelgava to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FS Jelgava / FT FS Jelgava✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Ogre United – last 6
LDDLLL
22 Apr
@ Riga
0–4
L
17 Apr
vs Auda
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs FK Liepaja
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FS Jelgava – last 6
LLLDWL
21 Apr
vs Auda
2–3
L
16 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Super Nova
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tukums
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ FK Liepaja
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ogre United and FS Jelgava.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FS Jelgava 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs FS Jelgava?
Ogre United vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
